This is maybe the first dataset I've seen that clearly illustrates how margin (profit) is inversely correlated with value to humanity.
Other than Ports, the top 7 highest-margin industries (stock/crypto exchanges, stock exchanges, banks, toll road operators, financial services and asset management) are in financialization and rent-seeking, basically acting as middlemen that use other people's money to extract wealth.
Meanwhile the bottom 7 lowest-margin industries other than LiDAR and aircraft leasing (CRISPR, gene therapy, hydrogen fuel cell, genomics and mRNA therapeutics) arguably have some of the greatest potential to improve quality of life and help the planet.
Sometimes it feels like everything that I care about most has been marginalized and commodified to the point of financial inviability. Meanwhile people who simply came out on the winning side of the multiverse and pulled up the ladder behind them are doing so well that they mock the rest of us for working by actively making our lives harder at every opportunity.
> the bottom 7 lowest-margin industries ... (CRISPR, gene therapy, hydrogen fuel cell, genomics and mRNA therapeutics) arguably have some of the greatest potential to improve quality of life and help the planet.
Critically, all the revenue for things you mention have yet to materialize, so they will show up in this naive analysis as losers. What they really represent is _opportunity_. Some may materialize but others have been around for decades and it turns out the "application for profit" step is much harder than anticipated.
> margin (profit) is inversely correlated with value to humanity.
You say this like it's a bad thing, but arguably the most valuable things to humanity are food, water, and shelter. These are simultaneously so important and so cheap that they embody the term "commodity," and that's a good thing! A _ton_ of human ingenuity from every society and culture has been applied to making these things better and cheaper and more plentiful. The same thing is happening to solar power (mostly for geopolitical reasons), which is conspicuously not on either of your lists.
Shelter is the one bit in the hierarchy of needs that got weird. Since it's not a consumable, there's incentive to treat it as an investment. In theory there's nothing wrong with that, but the incentives combined with local politics can become toxic. So many voters in the US own real estate (with leverage!) that everyone agrees by default that prices must never go down. That leads to a trap where politics revolve around housing prices never falling.
I also feel similarly when I was finishing grad school.
I learned advanced engineering topics only to find that the āhotā areas were social media and cell phones.
Not sure what, but always assumed there would be better uses of such an education.
I was largely mistaken.
All of the money is mostly tied up in safe bets for boomers. You don't see capital chasing big bets because folks would rather get their 4-7%+ "guaranteed" than risk it on a startup.
There's probably some meta commentary on the global risk climate in general since COVID here.
This ignores the capital intensity of different businesses, and the rate of return on that invested capital, which is tied up in the business.[a]
--
[a] Warren Buffett has written and spoken extensively about return on invested capital for more than six decades.
Do you mind sharing a link of your linking for (a)? Thank you
Buffett routinely mentions it in his annual letters:
https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html
A good place to start is by reading his thoughts on See's Candy as of 2007 (~four decades after he bought it):
https://berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2007ltr.pdf (search for "See's Candy")
I'll summarise the thinking for you. If you got $1m in profit that sounds great. But if you had to invest $1bn to get it, that sounds less good, because you could have made more by putting the money in the bank at a much lower risk.
Profit only makes sense when considered against the amount of capital required.
Good article although especially in tech itās not so simple. Thanks to games with depreciation and other financial engineering a company may look āprofitableā but still be quite unhealthy or at risk. One generally needs to look at āprofitā in the context of cash flow.
I.e. a company could be āprofitableā but also basically broke at the same time with no cash to pay people or suppliers.
Many lenses. I do like the authors focus on one. But youāre right it doesnāt tell the whole story.
Op margins are a great way to think about where one might see mean reversion, which then flows to net.
Ie are there structural reasons for the op income or is it a maturing sector which will attract new entrants.
It skews the other way just as often in my experience. That large clump at 10% has some wildly profitable businesses in it.
The comment you are responding to was "profitable but no cash flow" (due to non-cash deductions). I'm not clear what you mean by "the other way".
If you were "profitable but no cash flow" then you must have non-cash additions to your profit, not deductions.
A classic example of 'profit but no cashflow' might be where you made a profit but spent a lot of money on stock that you haven't sold yet. Or you made a lot of sales that you are yet to be paid for.
In the PE world it is just as likely that you made a profit before interest and tax, but you paid it all in interest. You would then have an operating profit but no cashflow due to a cash item. It could still make it a good business to own, if you didn't need the debt, or wanted to have the interest paid to you.
Maybe you made a profit but paid it all in dividends to a holding company. Then you have a profit but no cash flow due to cash items that don't affect the p&l.
This article is very timely as I was just thinking about margins given that I run a couple small websites that use Amazon Affiliate marketing.
The margin on most items is 4% (some lower, some higher e.g. luxury items are 10%).
4% is not terrible in and of itself.
But then you factor in:
- advertising costs
- conversion rates on clicks from the above
- taxes
and you get a real appreciation for how hard it must be to run high volume/low margin businesses.
Sure, you can do organic marketing etc but then you are just trading time for dollars.
> organic marketing etc but then you are just trading time for dollars.
But the alternative, trading dollars for dollars, is essentially just arbitrage, which tends to disappear from competition. Organic marketing is the only sustainable source of alpha Iāve found in affiliate marketing.
Shouldn't you include the ad costs in your margin calculation?
Yeah, the 4% is really Gross Margin (although COGS here is effectively zero).
Can I just say that your blog's design is so beautiful and readable? Do you mind sharing how you built it?
right click -> inspect
HTML looks pretty handwritten (lack of crazy css classes and simple structure)
<link rel="stylesheet" href="https://fi-le.net/css/tufte.css">
They are using tufte.css https://edwardtufte.github.io/tufte-css/
Thank you! As the other commenters already figured out, I manually write HTML and use tufte.css with some minor customizations.
Part of it is this tufte.css: https://edwardtufte.github.io/tufte-css/
I like your style - clear, on point, and no attempts to sell me anything. Itās honestly refreshing to read
There is another aspect to this, "Can the margins scale?"
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2025-11-13/bla...
https://archive.is/EdxHn interesting read.
Thank you for the kind words.
++1
> Divide a company's income by its revenue
If I'm a person who believes income is the same thing as revenue, how would you explain this division to me in a way I'd understand? Or does "income" in this case mean "profit"?
Income is closer to profit than you're thinking.
There is gross income, which is roughly sales (revenue) minus the direct costs of those sales. There is net income, which is the money left over after also accounting for other costs, like fixed overheads and marketing.
Despite my career in accountancy,including at global companies, and despite the definitions in all the comments below that disagree with you, I have never heard anyone in the real world describe Operating Profit as income. I have heard small business owners describe revenue as income. I agree with you, income was a terrible choice of word for this article.
Revenue is what you sell your product for.
Income is what you sit with after all the expenses and taxes have been deducted from the retail price.
Let's say you create some product, XYZ, which takes you exactly 5 hours to make. The materials to make the product costs you $50, the salary costs $100 ($20/hr * 5 hours), the shop costs (rent, utilities, etc.) costs roughly $5 pr product. And the things involved in selling your product (marketing, etc.) costs you $45 pr. product.
So in order to break even, you need to charge $50 + $100 + $5 + $45 = $200
You decide to sell the product for $250.
So before taxes you've earned $250 - $200 = $50
And let's say you have to pay 10% taxes on that, so 10% off $50 = $5
Your shop is left with $45 for each product they sell. Or you have $45 in income.
Your operating margins would be $45 / $250 = 18%
> Income is what you sit with after all the expenses and taxes have been deducted from the retail price.
Thatās the net income. That word is doing a job there!
> Your operating margins would be $45 / $250 = 18%
No, thatās the profit margin or net margin.
I believe that for operating income which would be used to calculate operating margin, taxes are not yet deducted.
Some terms as defined in an accounting course I took once (U.S. based).
Revenue = The total value of goods or services a company sells during a particular accounting period.
Gross Margin = The difference between revenue and the cost of goods sold. Also called Gross Profit.
Net Income = A corporationās net earnings or ābottom line.ā Net income is the residual of revenues after cost of goods sold, operating expenses, depreciation, interest, and taxes are considered.
Operating Expense = Expenses incurred in conducting normal business operations. Operating expenses may include wages and salaries, employee benefits, administrative expenses, research and development costs, and other similar expenses.
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